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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (7–4, n=11) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.9K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 60% (28 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 10 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 0% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $33K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |