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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (572–653, n=1225) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (28 of 61 open) | 76% (84 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=286 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 1% of 648) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 55) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 69% of 45) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 1055) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $207 | No $265K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $6.4K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | No $125 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $749 | Yes $185K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | Yes $26K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $64 | Yes $1.4K | — |