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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBanke46m3RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)74% (11398–3910, n=15308)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$925K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)74% (369 of 502 open)67% (117 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)38% (won 19% of 2052)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)7% (won 53% of 368)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)9% (won 72% of 497)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)46% (won 97% of 2506)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBanke46m3RN1
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $1.6K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $15KNo $808—