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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankextractive-manateeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)35% (507–957, n=1464)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$41K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #996PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)54% (41 of 76 open)67% (117 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −1 pts, n=318—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%22% of 1548 at avg 21¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)71% (won 5% of 1092)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)12% (won 41% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)9% (won 63% of 132)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)9% (won 91% of 143)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.