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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankpakukudolphiRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (80–92, n=172)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$161K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #960PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)89% (8 of 9 open)61% (178 of 290 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——MLB −34 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%43% of 190 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 8% of 73)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)14% (won 33% of 27)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)21% (won 55% of 40)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)26% (won 90% of 50)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankpakukudolphiRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64K—Yes $31K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56K—No $148
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651K—No $6.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2K—No $5.3K