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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | pollo07 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 36% (278–487, n=765) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $115K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #76 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 68% (17 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 51% (won 1% of 207) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 3% (won 45% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 44% (won 96% of 179) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | pollo07 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | No $4.5K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | No $1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | No $12K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $607 | No $2.7K |