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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | akroll | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 40% (372–554, n=926) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $38K | $11.2M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (328 of 434 open) | 50% (11 of 22 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | akroll | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | Yes $8.9K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $3.8K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | No $355 | No $440K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | No $12K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | No $1.0K | — |