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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market50% (792–780, n=1572)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL——$3.0K$14.8M
Tracked as——was PM monthly #789PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (62 of 108 open)66% (99 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——55% (won 100% of 201)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $87Yes $12K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
——Franco Agamenone $2.7KIgnacio Monzon $2.6K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Stade Rennais FC 1901 $79Olympiakós SFP $104
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $55No $31
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $1.9KDaniil Medvedev $36K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $506Matej Dodig $9.0K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $172No $3.1K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $18Under $1.7K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $136Under $1.5K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $851
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $291
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $65No $12