Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)54% (682–570, n=1252)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M$14.8M$22K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #322
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)53% (34 of 64 open)58% (61 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4RN1Venusian
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
——Lucas Poullain $545Jerome Kym $11K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
——Manchester United FC $2.3KAS Roma $3
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
——Rada Zolotareva $1.8KLucrezia Stefanini $372
Beijing Guoan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KNo $9
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KUnder $132
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
——Novak Djokovic $9.0KNovak Djokovic $7.2K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova
same side · consensus Moyuka Uchijima
——Rebecca Sramkova $4.7KRebecca Sramkova $371
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Edas Butvilas
same side · consensus Laslo Djere
——Laslo Djere $3.3KLaslo Djere $237
Taranto: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Ryan Peniston
——Marcus Walters $2Marcus Walters $2