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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (6–4, n=10) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$33K | $8.4M | — | $0 |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (18 of 35 open) | 84% (32 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (67 of 90 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=19 | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1304 at avg 23¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 8% of 920) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 158) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 153) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 73) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | — | No $54K |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | — | No $15 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $85K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $19K | — | — |