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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (1367–2759, n=4126) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $4.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=17 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1268 at avg 22¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 7% of 899) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 60% of 152) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 149) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 85% of 68) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $44 | — | No $1.2M |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $8 | No $54K | — |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | No $14 | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6 | No $84K | — |