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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)33% (1367–2759, n=4126)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$21K$7.6M$4.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus54% (21 of 39 open)89% (32 of 36 open)74% (112 of 152 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17—NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won26% of 1268 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 149)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $44——No $1.2M
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8—No $54K—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9—No $14—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292KYes $11K—
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $84K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $15K——