← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1387–2116, n=3503) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $6.1M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #95 | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (824 of 1213 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (55 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=409 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 1687 at avg 48¢, ROI −24% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 4% of 402) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 43% of 745) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 56% of 114) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 426) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $3.5K | — | — |