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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69BreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)49% (1237–1285, n=2522)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$12K$11.0M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus37% (27 of 73 open)53% (60 of 113 open)57% (42 of 74 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=390———
Settled positions, side won47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 10% of 523)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 246)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 64% of 199)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 88% of 424)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69BreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5—Over $3.9K—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13—Under $2.5K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $43K——
Ohio vs. Akron
same side · consensus Ohio
Ohio $104—Ohio $2.5K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $353—