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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (289–69, n=358) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #585 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (7 of 17 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 298 at avg 81¢, ROI +11% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 22% of 41) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 50% of 12) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 79% of 14) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 100% of 231) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $278K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | Yes $36K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | No $112K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | Yes $75K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $11 | No $26K | — |