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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)81% (355–83, n=438)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$38K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #585PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)89% (146 of 164 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech −6 pts, n=13———
Settled positions, side won86% of 297 at avg 81¢, ROI +11%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 22% of 41)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 50% of 12)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 79% of 14)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 100% of 230)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13No $858K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12Yes $32K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14Yes $172K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5No $114K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4Yes $67K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10No $25K——