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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)88% (593–78, n=671)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$142K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #368 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus95% (56 of 59 open)72% (73 of 101 open)no open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=124———
Settled positions, side won87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 14% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 23)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 45% of 31)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 96% of 611)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $90KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114KYes $77K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $555
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $169K——