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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (181–339, n=520) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $52K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #544 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (21 of 23 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=738 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1363 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 2% of 465) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 39% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 72% of 43) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 824) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4 | Yes $29K | — | — |