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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)35% (181–339, n=520)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$52K$5.8M$11.0M$194K
Tracked asPM monthly #544was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus91% (21 of 23 open)100% (1 of 1 open)86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +6 pts n=40, ROI −3%
  • F1 +7 pts n=20, ROI 0%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=10, ROI +37%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=738NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1363 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 2% of 465)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 39% of 31)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 72% of 43)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 99% of 824)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4—Yes $29K—