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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (123–118, n=241)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$6.2K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #76PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus77% (137 of 178 open)66% (100 of 152 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won0% of 2 at avg 17¢, ROI −20%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5497)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up0%31% (won 100% of 7736)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5K—Browns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $192—Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400—Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9K—Falcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3K—Raiders $104K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714—Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1K—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643—Jaguars $20K