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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (154–152, n=306)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$6.1K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #592PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus55% (48 of 87 open)100% (2 of 2 open)88% (130 of 147 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won84% of 161 at avg 77¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 24% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 63% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 94% of 18)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 95% of 114)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $346—Yes $274K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $160—No $114K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
No $2—No $250K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $96—Yes $83K—