← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (147–226, n=373) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (39 of 75 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 230 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 17% of 52) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 24) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 115) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $69K | No $622K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | No $112K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | Yes $81K | — | — |