← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (150–226, n=376) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $107K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (24 of 56 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 88% (130 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 234 at avg 63¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 19% of 54) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 64% of 25) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $59K | — | — | No $292K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $27K | — | — | Yes $33K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.5K | — | — | No $114K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $83K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $67K |