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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (49–6, n=55) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 188 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 56% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 95% of 153) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $36K | — | — |