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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (49–6, n=55) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 43% (6 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 188 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 56% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 95% of 153) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | Commanders $32K | — |