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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (49–6, n=55) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 188 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 56% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 95% of 153) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | No $32K | — | — |