← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (124–92, n=216) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $631 | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #948 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (31 of 57 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 106 at avg 73¢, ROI −4% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 33% of 15) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 57% of 7) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 85% of 13) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 97% of 71) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $214K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $6.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14 | — | No $590 |