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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)57% (124–92, n=216)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$631$5.8M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus55% (32 of 58 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 98 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Weather +4 pts n=47, ROI +4%
  • Tech +18 pts n=13, ROI −12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won84% of 106 at avg 73¢, ROI −4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 33% of 15)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 57% of 7)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 85% of 13)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 97% of 71)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $214K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $6.4K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14—No $590—