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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)69% (9–4, n=13)75% (744–249, n=993)45% (200–248, n=448)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL-$813$74K$28K-$43K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #354PM monthly #14PM monthly #44PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus66% (105 of 160 open)71% (95 of 134 open)79% (19 of 24 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 44 at avg 76¢, ROI −5%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 29% of 7)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 0% of 1)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 100% of 33)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $621Lakers $9.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $1.1KMatteo Martineau $614—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $2.6KUgo Humbert $10K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $1.0KAryna Sabalenka $5.1K—
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $224Max Alcala Gurri $4.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350—