← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (203–109, n=312) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $371K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #187 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 104) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 43% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 46) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 94% of 158) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $442 | Yes $21K | — | — |