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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xdc3E831cad | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1047–1550, n=2597) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (59 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=261 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 3268 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 1835) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 120) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 63% of 126) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 1187) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xdc3E831cad | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $26 | — | — | Yes $68 |