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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xe41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05 | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2887–2639, n=5526) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $13.4M | $2.9M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #737 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #410 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −9 pts, n=137 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 1557 at avg 57¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 30% of 164) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 34% (won 6% of 1254) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 97% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 25% (won 36% of 922) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 99% of 787) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 29% (won 64% of 1045) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 99% of 405) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 12% (won 89% of 431) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xe41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05 | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.3K | Yes $65 |