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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (279–330, n=609)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$7.9M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #214PM monthly #3PM monthly #127PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (80 of 121 open)88% (22 of 25 open)79% (26 of 33 open)51% (37 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won51% of 714 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 363)10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)35% (won 98% of 204)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)35% (won 100% of 202)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $125
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $6.2KMax Hans Rehberg $82
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Francesco Maestrelli $5.1KCarlo Alberto Caniato $300
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $1.9KHornets $124
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $700Under $146
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Spurs $265Kings $243
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Taylor Fritz $3.5KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.6KOver $254
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Zsombor Piros $1.2KZsombor Piros $774
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Riera $294Julia Riera $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.5KCavaliers $107