← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (281–341, n=622) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #468 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (80 of 118 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 666 at avg 46¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 6% of 354) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 60% of 20) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 95% of 22) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 270) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | No $87K |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | — | No $84K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | — | No $20K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | No $678 |