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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (280–330, n=610) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #255 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #90 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (87 of 143 open) | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 71% (98 of 138 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 6% of 361) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 62% of 21) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 96% of 25) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 99% of 305) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $225 | — | — | No $488K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $3.5K | Heat $1.1K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | — | No $87K |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | — | — | No $84K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | — | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | — | — | No $20K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | — | No $678 |