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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (282–341, n=623) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (20849–20545, n=41394) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $7.9M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (88 of 139 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 666 at avg 46¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 6% of 354) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 60% of 20) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 95% of 22) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 270) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | No $488K | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | No $87K | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | — | No $84K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | No $678 | — |