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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)50% (497–502, n=999)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$4.6M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #689PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus67% (71 of 106 open)71% (67 of 94 open)48% (19 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won51% of 728 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 372)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 26)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 99% of 309)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $56KNo $88K——
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $26KNo $85K——
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9.8KNo $43K——
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $30K——
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $867No $20K——
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20KNo $682——