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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (546–663, n=1209)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (34 of 51 open)no open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K—No $2.0M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56—No $1.5M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $7.5K—Yes $820K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $327K—Yes $1.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $241K—Yes $503K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $378K—Yes $118
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K—No $7.5K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.1K—Yes $145
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2—No $35