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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (472–705, n=1177)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$71K$7.6M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #761PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #93
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)88% (30 of 34 open)77% (285 of 372 open)73% (111 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $2.2K—Miami (FL) $442—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292K—Yes $11K
Devils vs. Islanders
same side · consensus Islanders
Islanders $268—Islanders $2.1K—
Magic vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $1.0K—Warriors $184—
Arkansas vs. Auburn
same side · consensus Auburn
Auburn $450—Auburn $19—