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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfFFF6537 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (476–709, n=1185) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $71K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #614 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 56% (35 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=117 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 12% of 65) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 28% of 60) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 68% of 34) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 30) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfFFF6537 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | Bears $12K |
| Celtics vs. Bucks same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $2.0K | — | — | Celtics $33K |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Bears $5.8K | Bears $27K |
| Penguins vs. Ducks same side · consensus Ducks | Ducks $313 | — | — | Ducks $966 |