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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (59–20, n=79) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (8 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 60% (18 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −13 pts, n=20 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 79 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 17% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 85% of 62) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $50K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $99K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |