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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)46% (9896–11783, n=21679)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$8.4M$1.4M$52K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #255
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)88% (30 of 34 open)67% (109 of 163 open)77% (40 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12Weather −6 pts, n=3909
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%24% of 10197 at avg 29¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)74% (won 0% of 7532)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)1% (won 39% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)2% (won 60% of 205)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)23% (won 97% of 2335)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpquietparcel
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $1.7K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146—Yes $2.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K—Hornets $169—
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $12K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8K—Over $88—