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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)45% (573–710, n=1283)57% (1092–818, n=1910)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$87K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #478PM monthly #3PM monthly #720PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus74% (17 of 23 open)76% (26 of 34 open)no open consensus position72% (185 of 256 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $4.5K——Simona Waltert $379
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154——Yes $2.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495——Olympique de Marseille $478
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Perth Scorchers
Sydney Thunder $107——Perth Scorchers $174
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $56K——Tommy Paul $12K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $32K——Carlos Alcaraz $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $14K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2K——Coleman Wong $853
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $171——Kasidit Samrej $3.3K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $646——Sorana Cirstea $271
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
same side · consensus Felix Gill
Buvaysar Gadamauri $237——Buvaysar Gadamauri $231
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Tiphanie Lemaitre $340——Tiphanie Lemaitre $38
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $132——Lumbini Lions $54
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $168——Afghanistan Under-19s $3
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $1——Remy Bertola $127