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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026RN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)no settled market
Consensus PnL$2.9M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #129PM monthly #32 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus50% (8 of 16 open)61% (39 of 64 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026RN1strominion
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $555Florida Atlantic $20K—
Predators vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $17KPredators $118—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $12KSouthern Miss $832—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $5Florida Atlantic $1.1K—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $338—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $58KOver $6.4K—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.4KHarold Mayot $3.7K—
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
UTSA $2UTSA $4.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $360—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $4Southern Miss $240—