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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #126PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)74% (139 of 189 open)44% (16 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1strominion
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.6K—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
Dalibor Svrcina $2.9KDalibor Svrcina $3Zsombor Piros $579—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Sumit Nagal $2.5KKilian Feldbausch $123Sumit Nagal $670—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Thunder $20KGrizzlies $183——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Magda Linette $5.1KMai Hontama $9.7K——
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.5KOver $2.6K——
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.2KOver $915——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $373—Timberwolves $25—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $265—Kings $124—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $37Over $153—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29Yes $3—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $9.8K—
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $102—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $506Wizards $166——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $86Under $9—