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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)63% (989–573, n=1562)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.2M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #506PM monthly #91PM monthly #48PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus56% (15 of 27 open)72% (54 of 75 open)53% (8 of 15 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmUpTheBlues
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $5.4K—Florida Atlantic $42K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.6K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.9K—Over $741—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
Southern Miss $810—James Madison $2.2K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K—Under $1.5K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $24—Under $1.8K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $752—Over $65—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $3.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 36.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $8—