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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 11122 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (474–1028, n=1502) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) |
| Consensus PnL | $656K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (152 of 184 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −12 pts, n=66 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 31% of 1670 at avg 30¢, ROI −1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 4% of 1099) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 39% of 94) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 62% of 102) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 98% of 375) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 11122 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | Yes $65 | — |