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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1922CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)68% (510–237, n=747)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$146K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (74 of 103 open)65% (17 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −17 pts, n=24———
Settled positions, side won79% of 782 at avg 73¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 17% of 110)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 53% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 75% of 119)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 97% of 491)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1922CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K