Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
196874353278BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)65% (151–81, n=232)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$18K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #814PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus13% (3 of 24 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won85% of 164 at avg 65¢, ROI +16%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 53% of 43)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 75% of 8)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 82% of 11)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 100% of 102)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market196874353278BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K