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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1lovejumpCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (62–34, n=96)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$96K$4.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)71% (15 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +18 pts n=352, ROI −1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=57—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won96% of 418 at avg 80¢, ROI −1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 20% of 5)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 80% of 20)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 96% of 67)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 326)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1lovejumpCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $660——Liam Draxl $5.2K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $145——Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K